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UFC 245 Preview

Early Prelims

Punahale Soriano (6-0) Vs Oskar Piechota (11-2-1)

To start this amazing night of fights off, we have the Hawaiian Punahale Soriano making his UFC debut. Soriano is coming off a decision victory on the Contender Series this past summer. I was surprised to see he got the contract. He gasssed out in the fight, and didn’t look to finish when he got top mount. Oskar Piechota is coming off back to back submission losses. He has knocked out and submitted 10 of his 11 wins. I really don’t know what to expect this fight because Puna showed a lot of holes in his game, and he is still very green. Piechota I’m not too high on so, I’m going to lean on the younger fighter, Punahale Soriano.

Jessica Eye (14-7) Vs Viviane Araujo (8-1)

I’m really surprised this fight is so low on the card. Viviane Araujo is a really impressive prospect. Araujo is undefeated since joining the UFC, she’s a former Pancrease Strawweight champion as well. While Jessica Eye, on the other hand, is a UFC veteran with wins over fellow women flyweight Kaitlyn Chookagian, Jessica Rose-Clark, and Kalindra Faria. Jessica Eye is going to look to wrestle. I see Viviane defending the takedowns every time, and getting the TKO finish, or a dominant decision victory like her last fight against Alexis Davis.

Brandon Moreno (15-5-1) Vs Kai Kara-France (20-7)

Brandon Moreno and Kai Kara-France are two of the brightest young fighters in the UFC flyweight division. Brandon Moreno is coming off a draw against the impressive Askar Asarov. I thought he did enough to secure the victory there, but the judges didn’t seem to think so. Kai Kara-France is coming off a decision win against Mark De La Rosa and is 3-0 since joining the UFC. This fight could honestly go either way. I lean towards Kai-Kara France but I wouldn’t be surprised if Brandon Moreno gets a finish here. He has 10 submissions and 2 technical knockouts. I expect this to be a close fight, and if Kai Kara can watch out for those crazy submissions, he should get the decision victory.

Chase Hooper (8-0-1) Vs Daniel Teymur (7-3)

This is a really funny fight to me because Chase Hooper is this awkward 20 year old kid, while Daniel Teymur is way older and has more losses and less wins. This fight is going to go 1 of 2 ways: Chase Hooper is going to get the takedown and get the submission finish we all are expecting, or Daniel Teymur is going to go in there and just big brother him like Joe Lauzon just did to Jonathan Pearce. Chase Hooper is another Contender Series product. In his first fight he survived a ton of striking and eventually got the submission finish. He didn’t walk away with a contract to the UFC but he got the next best thing, a developmental contract. When he was on the developmental deal he had a Split draw and two TKO finishes. Teymur has not looked great since joining the UFC in his brother’s footsteps. He had suffered 3 losses in a row before picking up a decision win against Sung Bin Jo his last fight. Teymur showed improvements in that fight, and that worries me if I was to pick Hooper. This is a pick em fight for sure and I honestly don’t know what to expect!

Prelims

Matt Brown (21-16) Vs Ben Saunders (21-12-2)

Ah “The Immortal” Matt Brown makes his return to the octagon after walking away from the sport in 2017 and brutally knocking out Diego Sanchez on the way. He’ll be returning as he will be facing fellow UFC Veteran Ben Saunders. Both fighters have had their fair share of being knocked out; basically both of them are made out of glass at this point. Ben Saunders has been knocked out too many times to count and hasn’t had a UFC win since 2018 against fellow grandfather Jake Ellenberger. Before retiring, Matt Brown was finished 3 times in 2016. I really don’t know how Matt Brown is going to look coming back from this lengthy layoff but all Ben Saunders has at this point is a knee to the body and if he lands it flush, it could honestly stop Matt Brown. I highly doubt it. Matt Brown should go in there and get a finish and probably retire again for two years, or maybe they’ll set up the fight with Carlos Condit that was supposed to happen.

Ian Heinisch (13-2) Vs Omari Akhmedov (19-4)

Do we really have to do this fight? I’m just playing. Ian Heinisch is another Contender Series veteran, who suffered his first loss since joining the UFC against Derek Brunson his last time out. Omari Akhmedov is on a two fight win streak since leaving welterweight and moving up to middleweight. His two wins came against Tim Boetsch and Zak Cummmings. Heinisch should win this he’ll be the younger and fresher fighter, especially against someone who notoriously has cardio issues. If Akhmedov implements his wrestling and takes him down and holds him there like he normally does, then Heinisch will lose by decision. I think Omari gets the first take down and wins the first round, then Heinisch will turn it on in the second and third and get the unanimous decision victory.

Ketlen Viera (10-0) Vs Irene Aldana (11-5)

These are two of the most under-rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight womens roster. Ketlen Viera is an undefeated fighter, coming off a very, very lengthy layoff. While Irene Aldana is coming off a decision victory against Vanessa Melo, who was making her UFC debut. Irene Aldana has the more crisper striking, the longer reach, and is obviously the more active fighter. I have no idea what Ketlen Viera is going to look like after this long time away from the octagon. Ketlen has the better judo skills and BJJ, but she didn’t really have the best boxing. So unless she has been working on her striking, I don’t see how she can beat Irene Aldana who has almost a 100% take down defense rate. I got Aldana by decision with crisp striking and more overall output.

Mike Perry (13-5) vs Geoff Neal (12-2)

I have personally met both Mike Perry and Geoff Neal. When I saw this fight was announced, I was immediately upset. I don’t want either fighter to lose and for that reason, I will be skipping this breakdown! ahahaha

Main Card

Petr Yan (13-1) Vs Urijah Faber (35-10)

A battle of the new school vs old school. Petr Yan is a dangerous fighter who is undefeated in the UFC octagon. Yan hasn’t lost since 2016 and even avenged that loss in 2017. Since joing the UFC, he has dominated every fighter that he’s faced. Urijah Faber returned from retirement and surprised me and a lot of MMA fans with a TKO finish over the young fighter in Ricky Simon. Personally, I don’t see how Urijah Faber wins this one. Petr Yan has really good scrambles, great takedown defense, and is all around more powerful. Urijahs win didn’t show me much. The fight in my opinion, was stopped very premature. I just see Petr Yan winning this easily. If Faber proves me wrong, then give him Henry Cejudo because I’m very high on Petr Yan.

Marlon Moraes (22-6-1) Vs Jose Aldo (28-5)

Man oh man this fight is going to be WAR. Jose Aldo is making the move to the 135 division and boy are they not giving him any favors. Marlon Moraes is no joke. His last fight was against Henry Cejudo, where he eventually gassed out and got finished. Before his title shot he was on a tear finishing Aljo, Assuncao, and Jimmie Rivera. Jose Aldo is THE Jose Aldo. I really hope he can survive against Marlon Moraes but I just don’t see it, even after making the weight. Both fighters are dominant strikers, but I lean towards Marlon Moraes to get the win because he’s used to the cut already and is the fresher fighter. But you never know with the savvy vet Jose Aldo.

Amanda Nunes (18-4) Vs Germaine De Randamie (9-3)

These next three fights I’m not sure who will win I’m just gonna go with who I want to win. For the first title fight of the three, you got a rematch 6 years in the making. You got two dominant women in all of MMA facing off again. I lean towards Amanda Nunes because I do believe she’s the Goat of all womens MMA. That being said GDR has really crisp striking and is one of the most complete kickboxers in the UFC if not THE MOST COMPLETE. If GDR can watch for the take down and keep it standing, she has a chance to pull of one of the biggest upsets in UFC History. I expect Amanda to have a calculated approach and wait until GDR makes a mistake and capitalizes. #ANDSTILL

Max Holloway (21-4) Vs Alexander Volkanovski (20-1)

First off let me start off by saying Max Holloway should 100% win this fight. That being said though, I’m going to be pulling for Vlokanovski to get the upset. Volkanovski trains with the likes of Kai-Kara France, Israel Adesanya, and Dan Hooker at City Kickboxing gym. Volkanovski is going to be in for his toughest fight though. Max Holloway has looked unbeatable in the feather weight division, winning 13 fights in a row. Volkanovski himself is on a 17 fight win streak and hasn’t lost since 2013. Alexander Volkanovski’s key to victory is pressure and clinch game. He has to get Holloway against the cage and hold him there, and then he has to use his clinch elbows and knees and wear on him. then in the next two rounds let his hands go and hope he can land flush on him, and in the fourth round he has to go and try to take him down and get the TKO finish. This is all easier said than done when it comes to Max Holloway. That’s why I think Holloway should win this fight and continue as the Featherweight Champion.

Kamaru Usman (15-1) Vs Colby Covington (15-1)

Now for the fight every MMA fan around the world, who is actually a fan of all MMA, has been waiting for. Kamaru Usman will defend his Welterweight title against the most hated fighter in maybe all of MMA, Colby Covington. Both fighters are very similar: Colby and Kamaru are both wrestlers and have incredible strength and cardio. I honestly don’t know who will win. Kamaru Usman should win this one, he has the harder strikes, and is the stronger guy. Usman went in there and dominated Tyron Wooldey all 5 rounds to capture the title his last fight out. Colby Covington is coming off his own dominate performance against UFC veteran and former champion, Robbie Lawler. I’m expecting Usman to honestly finish him by strikes. Colby will not want to stand with Usman. Even though Usman doesn’t have the cleanest strikes, he does have more pop to his shots and if Colby gets touched once, he’s going to look for the takedown. Kamaru Usman has a 100% takedown defense. I expect Usman to defend the takedown easily and Colby will be shortly finished afterwards. Kamaru Usman #ANDSTILL

Thank’s for reading my UFC245 Preview! Let me know what you guys thought and follow me on Twitter for all of my live thoughts!

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