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UFC Fight Island 2 Breakdowns

Prelims

Sergey Spivak (10-2) Vs Carlos Felipe (8-0)

A battle of young heavyweights to open the card. Sergey Spivak is 1-2 since joining the UFC his losses came against Walt Harris and Marcin Tybura. His lone win was a dominating display against Tai Tuivasa. Carlos Felipe is making his UFC debut 8 fights 6 knockouts. Both fighters are bottom tier when it comes to skill. Carlos Felipe has the better hand speed, but he lacks the ground game and experience. Outside of a flush KO I don’t see where Carlos Felipe wins this. I expect Sergey Spivak to get back in the win column here. It most likely plays out like the Tai Tuivasa fight.

Davi Ramos (10-3) Vs Arman Tsaruykan (14-2)

This should be an exciting fight in the lightweight division. Davi Ramos was on a 4 fight winning streak up until he ran into the surging Russian based fighter Islam Makhachev last time out. He’s now facing another insane wrestler with incredible scrambles Arman Tsaruykan. Arman is 1-1 since joining the UFC brass losing to Islam Makhachev as well but beating Olivier Aubin-Mercier. Both fighters have great wrestling, transitions, and BJJ. I have to go with the favorite Arman Tsaruykan he’s going to win a decision he’s just got to watch out for the sub or flash KO from Davi Ramos.

Malcolm Gordon (12-3) Vs Amir Albazi (12-1)

We got a battle in the flyweight division but it’s at bantamweight because of Fight Island I guess Malcolm Gordon Vs Amir Albazi. Albazi is the favorite here at -180 his only loss is to former UFC flyweight Jose “Shorty” Torres. Malcolm Gordon has wins over a couple UFC veterans and his most recent coming against TUF’s Yoni Sherbatov. I’m not entirely sure what to expect. I’m going to have to go with Amir Albazi by decision, Malcolm Gordon is chinny very hittable, and just a decent fighter. Whereas Amir Albazi is the younger fighter, a black belt, and a sound boxer. Should be a good fight to showcase some new flyweight talent.

Brett Johns (16-2) Vs Montel Jackson (9-1)

The 135 division is one of the best divisions in all of UFC. Here we have another great matchup between 2 electric bantamweights. Brett Johns is a welsh fighter with a 4-2 record in the UFC his two losses came against Pedro Munhoz & Aljamain Sterling. On the opposite side of things we got Montel Jackson the very underrated prospect who’s only loss on his record is a short replacement fight against fellow contender series alum Ricky Simon. This matchup is going to be a tough fight for both fighters here. Montel Jackson is a high level wrestler with crisp striking, Brett Johns is savvy and it’s not that he does one thing great he just does everything good. Brett Johns is a +160 underdog here and I’m not sure if he should be that big of a underdog. He’s lost to two formidable opponents and has great cardio and way more experience. Montel Jackson is coming off a dominating showing against Felipe Colares where he landed 75 strikes and 11 takedowns to his opponents 7 strikes and 1 take down. I like Montel Jackson here to win he needs to up the output but still conserve energy. I hope he can get it done he’s got to remain calm and don’t make any mistakes. Brett Johns knows how to finish a fight and make the necessary adjustments as soon as he knows he’s facing adversity. This is a great fight and I can not wait for it!

Joel Alvarez (16-2) Vs Joe Duffy (16-4)

Joe Duffy is a monster favorite and I can’t see why. He most likely wins the fight just because he’s been in there with the tougher opponents. But no way in hell am I trusting him with my money. He hasn’t won since 2017, has been on the sidelines for 17 months, he got flat lined by James Vick & styled on for 3 rounds courtesy of Marc Diakiese. Joel Alvarez is a huge underdog right now sitting at +265. He’s split fights since coming into the UFC losing his debut to Damir Ismagulov (who’s fucking good) and beating Danillo Bellaurdo to a pulp with ground and pound elbows. Both fighters aren’t ever going to make waves in the lightweight division or anything, but this will be a fun fight, I hope. Joe Duffy most likely wins but if he loses, I wouldn’t be surprised. Joel Alvarez is aggressive, technical, and a long rangy fighter. The only thing is he’s a defensive liability and Joe Duffy might find that chin at some point over the 15 mins. I got Joe Duffy but I do see value in betting Joel Alvarez.

Grant Dawson (15-1) Vs Nad Narimani (12-3)

This is a very intriguing fight between Grant Dawson & Nad Narimani. Grant Dawson is currently 3-0 since joining the UFC 2/3 wins are by submission. Standing across from him is Nad Narimani with a 2-1 record in the UFC and has a win over the very impressive Paddy Pimblett from Cage Warriors. Dawson struggled with his weight cut heavily last time out and ultimately ended up missing weight. Nad Narimani has never been subbed and only knocked out one. Grant Dawson is going to look to get it to the Mat hold him there and try and chase the sub. I think I’m going to go against the favorite again. I got Nad Narimani he was able to stop the Olympic wrestling of Mike Grundy. If Grant Dawson can’t keep him down, I got Nad by KO or comfortable decision.

Khadis Ibragimov (8-2) Vs Roman Dolidze (6-0)

Now for the featured prelim of the night you got a fraud and a UFC debutant. Roman Dolidze was a heavily touted prospect until he got hit with the lengthy suspension. It’s over now, and he’s set to face the Russian Khadis Ibragimov. His last fight was against Ed Herman where he looked TERRIBLE. He gassed in probably 3-5 minutes not even kidding. His first fight when he came to the UFC, he faced Da Un Jung and lost by standing guillotine. So basically, he’s got 3 mins of energy and if he doesn’t get the finish then it’s going to be over shortly after. Roman Dolidze is a good grappler and has power in his hands. I think Roman Dolidze is going to make a great addition to the light heavyweight division I can’t wait to see what he does after he runs through this fool.

Main Card

Alexandre Pantoja (22-4) Vs Askar Askarov (11-0-1)

This is going to be one of the best fights of the night. I can’t wait til I can finally see Askar Askarov take on Alexandre Pantoja. We are here both men bring it every night. Askar Askarov is coming off a dominating win over Tim Elliott. Standing across from him is “The Cannibal” Alexandre Pantoja who’s coming off a stellar knockout of Matt Schnell another rising flyweight. Both fighters are aggressive as hell with only one speed and that’s FAST. Pantoja has the better striking output and maybe the grappling edge but Askar Askarov is another one of those fighters who’s good everywhere. Personally, I’m not sure who wins this I been tossing and turning all week on my pick. I’m going to go with Alexandre Pantoja but I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Askarov won.

Ariane Lipski (12-5) Vs Luana Carolina (6-1)

Who cares never betting or even breaking down low level women’s MMA again. Look at everyone else’s picks for this one.

Marc Diakiese (14-4) Vs Rafael Fiziev (7-1)

Marc Diakiese was on the up and up when he first came into the UFC. He was finishing guys and making it look easy. Once he ran into the upper echelon it got really dicey. He lost a split decision to Drakkar Klose, Sub’d by Dan Hooker, and styled on against Nasrat Haqparast. He was moving camp to camp until he could find the right one shortly after. He’s now currently on a 2-fight win streak including Lando Vannata and Joe Duffy. Rafael Fiziev was someone being talked about because he has incredible Muay-Thai and teaches it at Tiger Muay Thai.  He’s 1-1 in the UFC getting worked in the first round against the lowkey killer Magomed Mustafaev & won a sort of close fight against Alex White. I feel like Marc Diakiese has faced the tougher competition. He’s so fast and has really reinvented himself every time out since his 3-fight losing streak. I think if it gets sketchy “The Bonecrusher” will use his wrestling and win a close decision.

Jack Hermansson (20-5) Vs Kelvin Gastelum (16-5)

This fight is going to be weird I kind of wish it was 5 rounds. Kelvin Gastelum is on a 2 fight losing streak granted it was against the champion & Darren Till. Jack Hermansson is coming off a pretty bad KO loss against Jared Cannonier. Kelvin Gastelum definitely wants to have this fight play out on the feet whereas Jack Hermansson is looking to take it to the ground. I think this fight favors Gastelum as long as he survives the first round. Jack Hermansson isn’t the all around better fighter by any means he’s just got a really good wrestling game and insane insane top control. Kelvins back is against the wall I’m thinking we see the best Kelvin we have seen since the Israel Adesanya fight. I think Hermansson is basically sub or bust if it gets to the later rounds.

Deiveson Figueiredo (18-1) Vs Joseph Benavidez (28-6)

Let me start off by saying Joseph Benvidez is a salty man. He did this same head butt against Alex Perez and it worked in his favor and he never mentioned it again. Now since he lost his precious title opportunity he wants to cry and get a rematch. Deiveson Figueiredo has insane power in his hands at 125, incredibly Jui-Jitsu, and a pretty damn good wrestling base. I really find it hard to see where Joey B magically thinks he is going to win this fight. The only way I see Figgy losing is by decision because the weight cut was hard on him. Nah, I got Figgy winning this fight easily honestly. I’m not even worried Joseph Benavidez going to be crying again come Saturday night early Sunday morning. I do not think Joey B was winning the first fight at all unless if we’re going off of “Out working him” but it’s like good luck doing that all 5 rounds against someone like Figgy.

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