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UFC RioRancho: Anderson vs Blachowicz II

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Prelims

Mark De La Rosa (11-3) vs Raulian Paiva (18-3)

The first fight of the night is in the flyweight division. Both fighters are coming off back to back losses. Mark De La Rosa has suffered defeats by Kai Kara-France and Alex Perez by decision. Mark De La Rosa is really only a sub or bust type of fighter. Mark De La Rosa has a really hard time using his wrestling to his advantage and I expect the same against Paiva. Raulian Paiva is a really interesting fighter who is also coming off back to back losses. The only thing is Paiva lost a very close decision to Kai Kara-France which personally I thought he completely won that fight and then in his next bout he was forced to stop fighting because of a cut against Rogerio Bontorin. I favor Raulian Paiva heavy here his takedown defense, scrambles, and striking are all better than De La Rosa has shown me since coming into the UFC. I got Paiva by decision maybe a stoppage.

Macy Chiasson (5-1) vs Shanna Young (7-2)

Macy Chiasson is a super powerful womens bantamweight who was on the verge of becoming a star before she hit a road block in the tough Lina Lansberg her last fight out. She will be facing debuting fighter Shanna Young on less than a weeks notice. Shanna Young was first introduced on the scene when she lost her Contender Series fight by rear naked choke where she was heavily favored. Macy Chiasson is going to beat the breaks off this poor girl theres really no way around it. She’ll most likely get it done in the first round and get FortisMMA back in the win column.

Casey Kenney 13-1-1 vs Merab Dvalishvili (9-4)

Next up we have another Contender Series alumni Casey Kenney is a surging bantamweight prospect. He will face Merab Dvalishvili who is 2-2 since joing the UFC. Casey Kenney really impressed me last fight and even his debut fight. He faced a overweight Manny Bermudez, and Ray Borg and beat both of them using wrestling some clean striking and good scrambles. He is definitely going to have his work cut out for him this time around as he will be facing the wrestling heavy, cardio killer, an all around freight train Merab. Merab trains with worldclass atheletes and has looked better his last 2 fights after dropping his first two. This is going to be a real interesting fight because both fighters are pretty similar. I give Merab Dvalishili the higher chance to win because it’s going to be a challenge for Kenney to stay up the whole fight or even just survive all 3 rounds with his pace. I got Merab by decision but it could go either way Kenney is so underrated.

Devin Clark (10-4) Vs Dequan Townsend (21-10)

In a light heavyweight bout Devin Clark is ALWAYS a risky play but here its tough not to assume he’s going to win. Dequan Townsend is basically a UFC Fighter because he has power in his hands. he can’t defend the takedown, he doesn’t have the best striking defense, and he’s taking the fight on 3-7 days notice. Clark should win this by ground and pound but we have seen him flop many times. He should win this but if I had to guess a random KO like a Williams Morono one last week than this is it.

Scott Holtzman (13-3) Vs Jim Miller (31-13)

This is another fight to have the potential of being one of the best fights on the card. Its definitely a tough one to breakdown you got lightweight Jim Miller riding a 3-1 record his last 4 fights and you got Scott Holtzman himself who is 4-1. This fight goes one of two ways 1. Scott Holtzman takes his time weathers the early wrestling attack and gets the stoppage when Miller starts to gas out or 2. Miller takes a calculated approach watches for the heavy shots from “Hot Sauce” and times a perfect takedown and gets the submission. I don’t know which way it plays out. I lean Jim Miller because he hasn’t lost to someone outside the top 15 his entire career.

John Dodson (20-11) vs Nathaniel Wood (16-3)

Im so tired of having to breakdown these veterans vs prospect fights but this another one. This time we’re in the bantamweight division Nathaniel Wood who is undefeated since joining the UFC with 3 submission victories in a row will face John Dodson. We all remember John Dodson as the fighter who almost be the goat Demetrius Johnson. John Dodson has since dropped 5 out of his last 8 fights. Originally I was like “Oh shit Wood got this one”. Now that I have done more research this fight is going to be way closer than I thought. Dodson has lost but he hasn’t lost to someone outside the top 15 ever as well and didn’t get finished by any one ever. It’s tough to see Wood being the one to finish John Dodson. Dodson has the potential to finish every fight or atleast try to. His issue is that he’s such a low output fighter and never seems to really care. He’s a point fighter to the T. I don’t know who wins but I’m going to go with the younger fighter who distributes more output and still has time to grow. I just think Dodson’s time is up.

Tim Means (29-11-1) vs Daniel Rodriguez (10-1)

Tim “Dirty Bird” Means a very exciting welterweight was supposed to take on Ramzaan Emmev. He will now be facing Daniel Rodriguez on 3 weeks notice. I’ll keep this one short and sweet. Tim Means is a very proven veteran who lost close decisions to formidable opponents and a come from behind knock out loss to none other than Niko Price. His last fight he looked great though and got the finish against the tough as nails Thiago Alves. Daniel Rodriguez is making his debut he’s another Contender Series fighter who didn’t get the contract but has achance to make a name for himself in a really tight spot. I picture this to play out like every Tim Means fight does. He’s going to toy around with him the first round get his opponents timing right and get the knock out finish in the second round. You never really know with debuting fighters though so i give him like a 80% chance to win.

Main Card

Lando Vannata (10-4-2) vs Yancy Mederios (15-6)

It has been a year since we have seen lightweight fighter Yancy Mederios. He is 3-2 in his last 5 fights and is currently on a two fight winstreak where he was knocked out or beat to a pulp. Lando Vannata is the guy who almost beat Tony Ferguson by headkick. Since than he’s had 4 losses and 2 draws his only wins were against John Makdessi and Marcos Mariano. Who lets face it you and I could beat if we trained for about a year. This fight most likely plays out on the feet. if Mederios chin is shot like I think it most likely is he could get slept in the first round. If it gets to the second and third round I don’t favor Lando anymore I favor Yancy. Lando tends to gas in the second and third round and against someone like Yancy you can’t do that. I got Yancy by finish but I’m not confident at all.

Brok Weaver (14-4) vs Rodrigo Vargas (11-3)

Brok Weaver is a fighting veteran he’s even fought on BKFC. He will be making his UFC debut against Rodrigo Vargas. He earned a contract after a decision against Devin Smyth on Dana White’s Contender Series to go 14-4. This will be Rodrigo Vargas second fight in the UFC his last one was a unanimous decision loss. Vargas has the power advantage but Brok Weaver is better everywhere else and knows how to win. I got Brok Weaver however he wants it, most likely decision. 

Ray Borg (12-4) vs Rogerio Bontorin (16-1)

Ray Borg once challenged Demetrius Johnson for a title, since then he’s had a rough go. Granted he’s gone through an unspeakable tragedy at home. Nonetheless he was able to get the unanimous decision victory and get off the skid he was on. He will be facing a very tricky fighter in Rogerio Bontorin who hasn’t lost since 2017. Bontorin has shown he can hang with the best of them. Borg is going to be shooting for his life and rightfully so. Bontorin has the striking advantage but he’s definitely gonna have to be on his P’s and Q’s. I got Bontorin to win but it’s not going to be easy at all.

Montana De La Rosa (10-5) vs Mara Romero Borella (12-6)

Why this girls flyweight fight is on the main card beats me but here we are. Montana De La Rosa is coming off her first loss in 5 fights. De La Rossa has finished 3 of her opponents granted none of them are even that good though. When she faced real completion against Andrea Lee she didn’t perform that well and lost a unanimous decision. She’s now going to face Mara Borella. Borella is coming off a loss to Lauren Murphy by TKO. Before that she won by split decision to Talita Santos. Borella is going to have to defend take downs all night. She’s got a advantage on the feet but she’s going to be in for a long night. I think we’ll have a grappling match for 15 mins. Don’t know who wins don’t really care. I would just rock with the favorite Montana De La Rosa.

Diego Sanchez (29-12) vs Michel Pereira (23-10)

This is the people’s main event! Two crazy son of a bitches going at it. Diego Sanchez is the longest running active UFC fighter on the entire roster. He is definitely not the same as he used to be though. He’s coming off a decision loss to Michael Chiesa where he was so undersized it’s not even funny. Before that he did stop Mickey Gall by TKO. Michel Periera is a showman with a beautiful KO in his debut against Danny Roberts but then he follows that up with the weirdest performance I have seen. It ultimately lost a decision because he was back flipping and doing crazy shit waisting all his energy. If he’s on the same crazy tactic which I’m sure he will be, he might gas out and Diego Sanchez could lay on him and hit him with ridiculous ground and pound. If Michel Pereira is a little calculated and just mix in the crazy shit all he needs is one clean shot and it’ll put Diego Sanchez out. I see that happening but you can’t sleep on Diego Sanchez against a young prospect. So I wouldn’t be surprised if he gave him the vet lesson. 

Corey Anderson (13-4) vs Jan Blachowicz (25-8)

A rematch we all didn’t want and truly don’t think we even need. First of all let me start by saying I respect both of these fighters mightily. That being said NEITHER of them are beating Jon Jones, Dominick Reyes, Anthony Smith, or even Volkan Oezdemir. Now let’s get into the breakdown. Corey Anderson is on a 4 fight win streak defeating Cummins, Texeira, Latifi, and knocking out the surging Johnny Walker. While Jan himself is on a 2 fight winning streak beating Souza and Rockhold both normally middleweight fighters. Who in the world coined  “Polish Power”!? I’m pretty sure anyone in the top 15 would knock out Rockhold and before that his last finish was a body shot to Latifi in 2014! His wrestling has gotten better since there first fight but Corey Anderson should be able to get him down and keep him there. It’s gonna be a little closer but I believe both fighters are supremely over rated. I give Corey Anderson the nod because he’s got more tools where Jan doesn’t. 

Thank you for reading my UFC RioRancho breakdowns! let me know what you think, if you enjoyed them, and if theres something I can do to make them better!

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